Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 4
Dortmund

Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Braut Haaland (37', 77' pen.), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
30.84%	23.54%	45.62%

Both teams to score 61.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61%

40.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.23%

62.77%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66%

25.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87%

60.13%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99%

18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12%

48.87%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 30.84%

Borussia Dortmund 45.62%

Draw 23.53%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.84%	1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.62%