Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Coman (53'), Musiala (74')
Musiala (27'), Sane (36'), Hernandez (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Onisiwo (22')
Stach (59'), Hack (89'), Stoger (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Mainz 05

Despite the success of the visitors so far this campaign, Bayern will be expected to win comfortably at the Allianz Arena on Saturday. When the champions are playing in this kind of form, it is difficult to see how many teams in the world could stop them, so Mainz are likely to be playing for damage limitation unfortunately for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.65%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Mainz 05
84.65%	10.04%	5.31%

Both teams to score 50.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.6%

24.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.85%

44.15%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.1%

16.9%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.46%

47.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.11%

82.88%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 84.64%

Mainz 05 5.31%

Draw 10.04%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Mainz 05
3-0 @ 10.58% 2-0 @ 9.87% 4-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 7.34% 4-1 @ 6.34% 1-0 @ 6.13% 5-0 @ 5.49% 5-1 @ 4.08% 6-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 2.36% 6-1 @ 2.19% 5-2 @ 1.52% 7-0 @ 1.35% 7-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.13% Total : 84.64%	1-1 @ 4.56% 2-2 @ 2.73% 0-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.85% Total : 10.04%	1-2 @ 1.7% 0-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.2% Total : 5.31%