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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
VfL Bochum

Dortmund
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)
Ozcan (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gamboa (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum

We expect Dortmund to have far too much quality for Bochum, who have failed to register a single point on the road this season. Having conceded four goals in each of their last three away matches, the visitors may be content with keeping the scoreline as low as possible, while Terzic will be satisfied with any victory given his side's fixture pile-up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
68.84% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 17.09% (0.041 0.04) 14.07% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)8.21% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.27% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)28.72% (0.061 0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.13799999999999 0.14)34.8% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.144 0.14)71.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 68.84%
    VfL Bochum 14.07%
    Draw 17.09%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.3%
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 68.84%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.09%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.07%

How you voted: Dortmund vs VfL Bochum

Borussia Dortmund
91.9%
Draw
4.0%
VfL Bochum
4.0%
99
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Polter (40' pen.)
Brandt (85')
Schulz (57'), Hummels (58'), Zagadou (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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