Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Petersen (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hack (31')
Stach (7'), Kohr (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz 05

It is very difficult to separate these two sides on Saturday, with neither of them at their flowing best in recent weeks. As mentioned above, it is likely to be a tight and even affair between two teams so defensively organised, so we are predicting the game to finish level and with a shortage of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Mainz 05
50.57%	24.04%	25.39%

Both teams to score 55.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63%

46.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35%

68.65%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63%

18.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.5%

49.5%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69%

32.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19%

68.81%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 50.56%

Mainz 05 25.39%

Draw 24.04%

Freiburg	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.56%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.39%