Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

VfL Bochum

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Viktoria Berlin vs. VfL Bochum
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Wolfsburg	34	-11	42
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42
14	Augsburg	34	-17	38

We said: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum

This is likely to be a tight game between two sides that are so full of confidence, and also two that are so evenly matched when solid defensive setups are taken into account. Home advantage is likely to be key here with full stadiums being allowed in the Bundesliga in recent weeks, so we are predicting a raucous atmosphere at the Europa-Park Stadion to roar on a narrow home victory to keep Freiburg's top-four hopes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
52.25%	22.63%	25.12%

Both teams to score 59.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.78%

40.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.41%

62.59%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51%

15.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.63%

44.37%

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77%

29.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82%

65.18%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 52.25%

VfL Bochum 25.12%

Draw 22.62%

Freiburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.76% Total : 52.25%	1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 6.39% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.28% Total : 25.12%