Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Oct 17, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Werder Bremen, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
35.19%	26.12%	38.69%

Both teams to score 53.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.23%

50.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34%

72.66%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3%

27.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75%

63.25%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31%

25.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.4%

60.6%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 35.19%

Werder Bremen 38.69%

Draw 26.11%

Freiburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.19%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.69%