Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

Kanga (9'), Richter (54')
Kempf (62'), Rogel (62'), Lukebakio (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Skhiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 FC Koln

Neither side looks capable of settling the score in the final third this weekend. It is very possible that the in-form Lukebakio will take the game to Koln, the Belgian having scored an impressive seven goals this season. However, against an aggressive and direct Hertha side, Koln may retreat into a more cautious play, leaving two sides with poor finishing struggling to break their opponents down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
29.42% ( -0.48)	23.2% ( -0.13)	47.37% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 61.57% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45% (

0.32)

39.54% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.11% (

0.33)

61.89% (

-0.34)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.15)

25.82% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.22% (

-0.2)

60.78% (

0.19)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

0.35)

16.99% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89% (

0.62)

47.1% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 29.42%

FC Koln 47.37%

Draw 23.19%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.42%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.37%