Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Oct 3, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Schalke

Bozdogan (31' og.), Angelino (35'), Orban (45+2'), Halstenberg (80' pen.)
Sorloth (84')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sane (64'), Nastasic (79'), Ibisevic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Schalke 04, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Schalke 04
65.92%	19.82%	14.27%

Both teams to score 50.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27%

43.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88%

66.13%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59%

12.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.68%

38.32%

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.31%

42.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.98%

79.03%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 65.91%

Schalke 04 14.27%

Draw 19.82%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Schalke 04
2-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 6.83% 4-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.91% 5-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.26% Total : 65.91%	1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.82%	0-1 @ 4.51% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.27%