Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Awoniyi (6'), Baumgartl (57')
Khedira (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nkunku (13')
Szoboszlai (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 RB Leipzig

Union's terrific home record, combined with Leipzig's awful away form, means we are predicting a home win for Union on Friday evening. Not many sides come away from the An der Alten Forsterei with the points, and also factoring in the visitors' troubles with COVID-19, Union will be confident of achieving the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
24.04%	22.59%	53.36%

Both teams to score 58.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.83%

41.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.44%

63.56%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39%

30.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15%

66.84%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55%

15.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71%

44.29%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 24.04%

RB Leipzig 53.36%

Draw 22.59%

Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.19% 1-0 @ 5.6% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.04%	1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.36%