Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Mainz 05

Sargent (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Szalai (16')
Boetius (66'), Zentner (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mainz 05 in this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Mainz 05
24.54%	26.07%	49.39%

Both teams to score 48.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.8%

55.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.57%

76.43%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.16%

37.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.38%

74.61%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61%

22.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1%

55.89%

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 24.54%

Mainz 05 49.38%

Draw 26.07%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 5.99% 2-0 @ 4% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.64% Total : 24.54%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 12.67% 0-2 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-3 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.38%