Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
5 - 1
Brugge

(Benfica win 7-1 on aggregate)

Silva (38'), Ramos (45+2', 57'), Mario (71' pen.), Neres (77')
Otamendi (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Meijer (87')
Yaremchuk (17'), Lang (20'), Sylla (43'), Meijer (49')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Friday, March 3 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Club Brugge

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Oostende 3-0 Brugge
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Club Brugge
73.18% ( -0.01)	15.9% ( 0)	10.92% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.31% (

0.01)

33.69% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.49% (

0.01)

55.51% (

-0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.06% (

7.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.95% (

28.05% (

-0)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58% (

0.01)

41.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07% (

0.01)

77.93% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Benfica 73.18%

Club Brugge 10.92%

Draw 15.9%

Benfica	Draw	Club Brugge
2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.85% 4-0 @ 5.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.19% 6-0 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.2% Total : 73.18%	1-1 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.9%	1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 10.92%