Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 8, 2023 at 7pm UK

Parken

Copenhagen
0 - 0
Sparta Prague

(agg: -)

Falk (28'), Vavro (87'), Lerager (89'), Jelert (90+5')

Kuchta (38'), Zeleny (78'), Krejci (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Copenhagen and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Copenhagen

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Copenhagen 4-0 Randers
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta Prague 5-2 Pardubice
Saturday, August 5 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Copenhagen 3-1 Sparta Prague

Developing a taste for goals in the embryonic stages of the campaign, Copenhagen's scintillating attacking play should make up for any defensive shortcomings that may arise in the Danish capital this week. Despite their lack of top-level European experience in recent years, Sparta Prague should prove a sterner test than Breidablik, but we can only envisage Copenhagen travelling to Czechia for the return leg with a healthy advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Copenhagen	Draw	Sparta Prague
40.8% ( 0.02)	24.96% ( 0.02)	34.25% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

-0.08)

45.79% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.9% (

-0.08)

68.1% (

0.08)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63% (

-0.02)

22.37% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.13% (

-0.04)

55.87% (

0.04)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12% (

-0.06)

25.88% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14% (

-0.08)

60.86% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Copenhagen 40.8%

Sparta Prague 34.25%

Draw 24.95%

Copenhagen	Draw	Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.25%