Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadion Rajko Mitic

Red Star
2 - 2
Young Boys

Ndiaye (35'), Bukari (88')
Ndiaye (18'), Ivanic (45+5'), In-beom (58'), Bukari (65'), Mijailovic (73'), Dragovic (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ugrinic (48'), Itten (61' pen.)
Males (64'), Camara (74'), Niasse (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Young Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: Man City 3-1 Red Star
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Young Boys

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Grasshopper 0-1 Young Boys
Saturday, September 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Young Boys

Red Star, who have won one of their three home games in both of their previous two Champions League group appearances, will view Wednesday's fixture as their best opportunity to open their account in Group G. The same can be said for Young Boys, though, and with little to separate these two teams, a closely-fought score draw could be played out in Serbia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Young Boys
45.1% ( 1.75)	21.97% ( -0.35)	32.94% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 68.2% (

0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.32% (

1.27)

31.68% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.81% (

1.48)

53.19% (

-1.47)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.19% (

1.14)

14.81% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.91% (

2.13)

43.09% (

-2.12)

Young Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

-0.11)

19.95% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.89% (

-0.18)

52.11% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 45.1%

Young Boys 32.94%

Draw 21.97%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Young Boys
2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.14) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.4% Total : 45.1%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.97%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.94%