Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 4, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Bosuilstadion

Antwerp
2 - 3
Shakhtar

Muja (3'), Ange Balikwisha (34')
Keita (12'), Janssen (37'), Alderweireld (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sikan (48', 76'), Rakitskiy (71')
Konoplya (36'), Rakitskiy (66'), Sikan (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Royal Antwerp and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Royal Antwerp

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Mechelen 0-0 Antwerp
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Shakhtar 1-2 Vorskla
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

We said: Royal Antwerp 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk

Even Antwerp's recent streak of impressive defensive displays should count for little against a Shakhtar side who always find a way through the opposition's defence, even if they come out on the wrong end of the scoreline, as was the case a fortnight ago. However, with several key players set to return to the XI against a Reds side lacking attacking inspiration, Shakhtar need only prolong their prolific streak in front of goal to emerge victorious and leave Antwerp still searching for their first group-stage point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Royal Antwerp	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
45.81% ( 0.25)	23.24% ( 0.05)	30.95% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 62.38% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.11% (

-0.38)

38.89% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.8% (

-0.4)

61.2% (

0.4)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66% (

-0.05)

17.34% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.28% (

-0.09)

47.72% (

0.1)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

-0.36)

24.53% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.99% (

-0.51)

59.01% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Royal Antwerp 45.81%

Shakhtar Donetsk 30.95%

Draw 23.24%

Royal Antwerp	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.04% Total : 45.81%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.95%