Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Gradska Plaza Stadium
Struga1 - 2Zalgiris
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Struga 0-1 FK Zalgiris
While Struga managed to hold on to a draw in the first leg, they were noticeably outplayed for the majority of the match, and they will likely be on the defensive for much of this match as well. At home, the hosts should put on a good showing, but we feel that the visitors will just edge past them by a single goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 77.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Struga had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Struga win it was 1-0 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
Result | ||
Struga | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
7.47% ( 0.01) | 15.37% ( 0.01) | 77.16% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 40.61% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% ( 0.02) | 43.02% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% ( 0.02) | 65.42% ( -0.02) |
Struga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.77% ( 0.06) | 55.23% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.98% ( 0.03) | 88.02% ( -0.03) |
FK Zalgiris Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.7% ( 0) | 9.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.61% ( 0) | 31.38% |
Score Analysis |
Struga 7.47%
FK Zalgiris 77.14%
Draw 15.37%
Struga | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
1-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 7.47% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 15.37% | 0-2 @ 14.48% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-5 @ 3.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 77.14% |
How you voted: Struga vs Zalgiris
Struga
28.3%Draw
8.7%FK Zalgiris
63.0%46
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 5pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:14:31
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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