Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

St Andrew's

Birmingham
2 - 2
Cardiff

Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Birmingham City 2-2 Cardiff City

Both Birmingham and Cardiff will be desperate to put a consistent run of form together to steer themselves clear of danger. However, with little to separate these two unpredictable teams, a score draw could be on the cards at St Andrews. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Cardiff City
33.94%	29.44%	36.62%

Both teams to score 43.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.65%

63.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.28%

82.72%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.13%

34.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.39%

71.61%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92%

33.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33%

69.67%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 33.94%

Cardiff City 36.62%

Draw 29.43%

Birmingham City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.15% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.19% Total : 33.94%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.43%	0-1 @ 12.76% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.62%