Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Nov 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Ashton Gate

Bristol City
1 - 0
Stoke

Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Stoke City

Bristol City have been on an upward trajectory at home, their return from the last two games the best in nine months. However, we cannot look past Stoke, who have the qualities to edge a close game at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Stoke City
22.49%	26.89%	50.62%

Both teams to score 43.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.32%

59.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.01%

79.99%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.67%

42.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.28%

78.72%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24%

23.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1%

57.9%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 22.49%

Stoke City 50.61%

Draw 26.88%

Bristol City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.1% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.1% Total : 22.49%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 14.45% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.61%