Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
0 - 1
Burnley

Lockyer (77'), Adebayo (80')
Lockyer (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barnes (78' pen.)
Brownhill (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Burnley

Luton are hunting for a top six place this season but will still regard this clash with Burnley as a free hit, highlighting how good Kompany's men are proving to be this term. The Clarets will be energised by their late equaliser against Watford last time out and should be able to earn three points in this one, even if the defence is slightly makeshift. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Burnley
37.06% ( 0.1)	26.53% ( 0.05)	36.41% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 52.46% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

-0.21)

52.42% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

-0.18)

74.1% (

0.18)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

-0.04)

27.38% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

-0.06)

62.85% (

0.06)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

-0.19)

27.76% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67% (

-0.24)

63.33% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 37.06%

Burnley 36.41%

Draw 26.52%

Luton Town	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 37.06%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.41%