Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Stoke

Akpom (23')
Forss (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hoever (45')
Brown (29'), Tuanzebe (58'), Pearson (75'), Campbell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 3-2 Blackburn
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

Stoke's recent form has been impressive, but Middlesbrough have been strong at home this season, only losing two of their 17 matches in front of their own fans. It should be a tight game on Tuesday evening, but Carrick's side have enough quality to claim another victory in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
50.96% ( -0.02)	24.46%	24.58% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.09% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

0.02)

48.84% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.07% (

0.02)

70.93% (

-0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.83% (

-0)

19.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.17%

50.83% (

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68% (

0.03)

34.32% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.98% (

0.03)

71.02% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 50.95%

Stoke City 24.58%

Draw 24.46%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.95%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 7.04% 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.58%