Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 0
Millwall

Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Queens Park Rangers	4	-1	4
17	Norwich City	4	-1	4
18	Stoke City	4	-2	4

Millwall

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Sheffield United	4	2	7
5	Millwall	4	1	7
6	Cardiff City	4	1	7

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Millwall

Tuesday's win could trigger a hot run of form for Norwich, and they have the quality to hurt any side in the league, but we anticipate a tough test against a resilient Millwall outfit. Rowett's men have shown their steel so far this season and could do enough to leave Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Millwall
45.04% ( -0.01)	26.56% ( -0.01)	28.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.84% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39% (

0.02)

54.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05% (

0.02)

75.95% (

-0.02)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

0.01)

24.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

0.01)

58.47% (

-0.01)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

0.02)

34.29% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.01% (

0.02)

70.99% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 45.04%

Millwall 28.4%

Draw 26.55%

Norwich City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.04%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.4%