Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City
Despite their emphatic victory on Sunday, Watford now go up against a team who can claim to be a side very much on the up. Nevertheless, we still feel that the Hornets will do enough to get another three points on the board, giving the board further satisfaction after their decision to make a change in the dugout.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33% . A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47% .
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood .
Result Watford Draw Swansea City 50.33% ( -0.56) 25.2% ( 0.24) 24.47% ( 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.41)
48.07% ( -0.71) 51.92% ( 0.71)
26.33% ( -0.61) 73.67% ( 0.61)
79.36% ( -0.52) 20.64% ( 0.52)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.79% ( -0.82) 53.21% ( 0.82)
63.89% ( -0.11) 36.1% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.11% ( -0.11) 72.88% ( 0.11)
Watford 50.32%
Swansea City 24.47%
Draw 25.19%
Watford Draw Swansea City 1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.32% 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.19% 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.47%
How you voted: Watford vs Swansea
51
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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