While Beijing Guoan are unbeaten in five straight outings, Chengdu Qianbao are one of just three sides yet to taste victory this season. Given their contrasting form, it is hard to envisage any other outcome than the Imperial Guards coming out with all three points on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
34.47% ( 3.18)	26.89% ( -0.33)	38.64% ( -2.86)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

1.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.97% (

1.94)

54.03% (

-1.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.54% (

1.6)

75.46% (

-1.61)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

3.13)

29.73% (

-3.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

3.64)

65.79% (

-3.64)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.66)

27.23% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

-0.87)

62.65% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 34.47%

Chengdu Qianbao 38.64%

Draw 26.88%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.47%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.29) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.82) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.64%