Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Nantong Zhiyun
35.67% ( 0.18)	26.75% ( -0.17)	37.58% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

0.69)

53.35% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

0.58)

74.9% (

-0.58)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

0.44)

28.65% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

0.55)

64.47% (

-0.55)

Nantong Zhiyun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

0.32)

27.52% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

0.41)

63.03% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 35.67%

Nantong Zhiyun 37.57%

Draw 26.74%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Nantong Zhiyun
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.67%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.57%