Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5

Jun 20, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Pennant Hills Park

Changchun
0 - 0
Henan

Weihui (46'), Pengfei (69')

Karanga (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Henan Songshan Longmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Changchun Yatai 1-2 Henan Songshan Longmen

On the back of such a heavy defeat, a home fixture with Henan is not ideal for Changchun. Although they will be motivated to get back on track at the earliest opportunity, Henan are playing with enough confidence to prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 46.09%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
46.09% ( 0.62)	28.41% ( 0.08)	25.49% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 42.81% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.4% (

-0.62)

62.6% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.83% (

-0.46)

82.17% (

0.46)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

0.02)

27.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3% (

0.03)

62.7% (

-0.03)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.86% (

-0.98)

41.14% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.32% (

-0.88)

77.68% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 46.08%

Henan Songshan Longmen 25.49%

Draw 28.4%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 14.57% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 46.08%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.24% Total : 25.49%