Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Qingdao Jonoon
35.64% ( -0.25)	26.86% ( 0.04)	37.5% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19% (

-0.17)

53.8% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72% (

-0.14)

75.27% (

0.14)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

-0.24)

28.89% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24% (

-0.29)

64.76% (

0.28)

Qingdao Jonoon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22% (

0.04)

27.78% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64% (

0.06)

63.36% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 35.64%

Qingdao Jonoon 37.49%

Draw 26.85%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Qingdao Jonoon
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.64%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.49%