Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
38.62% ( 0.81)	25.99% ( -0.13)	35.38% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 54.19% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81% (

0.49)

50.19% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85% (

0.43)

72.15% (

-0.44)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

0.67)

25.46% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

0.91)

60.29% (

-0.92)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

-0.18)

27.3% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

-0.23)

62.75% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Chengdu Qianbao 38.62%

Wuhan Three Towns 35.38%

Draw 25.98%

Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.62%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.38%