Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
72.15% ( 0.45)	16.84% ( -0.26)	11.01% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 50.56% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.89% (

0.73)

38.1% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.63% (

0.78)

60.37% (

-0.78)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.74% (

0.29)

9.26% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.71% (

0.7)

31.28% (

-0.7)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.72% (

0.16)

44.27% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.65% (

0.13)

80.35% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 72.15%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 11.01%

Draw 16.84%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.05% Total : 72.15%	1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.84%	0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 11.01%