Sh. Shenhua

1 - 2

Beijing Guoan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.