A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams could be on the cards on Friday, one that may even go beyond 90 minutes, but considering Al Ahly's wealth of experience at this stage as well as their recent form in all competitions, we believe that the Egyptian side will find a way to outscore Urawa en route to claiming the bronze medal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Al Ahly
36.65% ( -0.03)	25.81% ( -0.01)	37.54% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.88% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64% (

0.05)

49.35% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

0.04)

71.4% (

-0.05)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

26.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

61.25% (

-0.01)

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33% (

0.05)

25.67% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42% (

0.07)

60.58% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 36.65%

Al Ahly 37.54%

Draw 25.81%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Al Ahly
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.65%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.54%