Real Madrid

3 - 1

Atletico

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.