MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 14:31:13| >> :60:178:178:
Sao Paulo
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Palmeiras

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Palmeiras

Rafinha (82')
Maia (44'), Neves (44'), David (90+3'), Rato (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mayke (87'), Gomez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Palmeiras

We can see Tuesday's showdown being a close-fought battle between two fierce rivals, with both sides expected to settle for a draw ahead of a pivotal second leg later this month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
48.25% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 25.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 26.34% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.37% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.037000000000003 0.04)73.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.037999999999997 0.04)21.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)54.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.21% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 48.24%
    Palmeiras 26.34%
    Draw 25.41%
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.34%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

Sao Paulo
42.2%
Draw
37.8%
Palmeiras
20.0%
45
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sao Paulo
0-2
Palmeiras

David (89'), Maia (90+3'), Rodriguinho (90')
Maia (90+4')
Menino (11'), Endrick (78')
Ferreira (15'), Artur (89')
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
Jul 15, 2022 12am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
2-1
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo win 4-3 on penalties

Veiga (30'), Gomez (69'), Rocha (90+2')
Luciano (70' pen.)
Welington (5'), Neves (45'), Nestor (56'), Calleri (64'), Nikao (87')
Jun 24, 2022 12am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
1-0
Palmeiras
Patrick (31')
Reinaldo (61'), Neves (73')

Cerqueira (49'), Gomez (61')
Jun 21, 2022 12am
Gameweek 13
Sao Paulo
1-2
Palmeiras
Patrick (17')
Vinicius (39'), Reinaldo (45+2')
Gomez (90+1'), Cerqueira (90+6')
Danilo (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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