Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 28, 2024 at 11pm UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
3 - 0
Racing

Garro (22'), Alberto (25' og.), Coronado (58')
Oliveira (6'), Raniele (42'), Caca (45+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ferreira (5'), Magallanes (21')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 America FC
Thursday, May 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Racing 1-2 Boston River
Friday, May 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 9.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
73.27% ( -0.02)	16.77% ( 0.02)	9.96% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.76% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59% (

-0.07)

40.99% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.61% (

-0.07)

63.39% (

0.08)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.27% (

-0.02)

9.73% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.6% (

-0.05)

32.4% (

0.05)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.8% (

-0.04)

48.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.63% (

-0.03)

83.37% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 73.25%

Racing de Montevideo 9.96%

Draw 16.77%

Corinthians	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 73.25%	1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 16.77%	0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.91% 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 9.96%