Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Bragantino
19.27% ( 4.02)	25.05% ( 4.33)	55.68% ( -8.35)

Both teams to score 44.69% (

-5.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.5% (

-10.84)

56.51% (

10.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5% (

-9.51)

77.5% (

9.52)

Sportivo Luqueno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.06% (

-1.44)

43.94% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.93% (

-1.21)

80.08% (

1.22)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

-6.72)

20.28% (

6.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.36% (

-11.99)

52.64% (

12)

Score Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno 19.27%

Bragantino 55.67%

Draw 25.04%

Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 7.33% ( 2.4) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.9) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.27%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 1.84) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 3.15) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.38) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 14.21% ( 2.7) 0-2 @ 11.34% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 6.03% ( -1.63) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -1.6) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -1.42) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.77) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -1.3) Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.67%