Atalanta
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

The first of two encounters between these attack-minded teams in the next fortnight promises to provide some exciting football, even if both sides have been hit-and-miss of late. The hosts should win through to the semi-finals once again, as Fiorentina travel particularly badly and are still in the process of reconfiguration post-Vlahovic. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
57.7%	21.65%	20.66%

Both teams to score 57.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.11%

40.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.72%

63.28%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05%

13.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.58%

41.42%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53%

33.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89%

70.1%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 57.7%

Fiorentina 20.66%

Draw 21.64%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 9.06% 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-0 @ 5.95% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.2% Total : 57.7%	1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.64%	1-2 @ 5.51% 0-1 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.66%