PSG
0 - 0
Nice

Pereira (24'), Kehrer (54'), Dagba (71')

Gouiri (29'), Boudaoui (60'), Schneiderlin (76'), Todibo (77'), Atal (79')

Nice win 6-5 on penalties

Build-up

The Match

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 Nice (Nice to win on penalties)

Despite the 11-point gap separating the two sides in the Ligue 1 table, Nice have already proved that they can go toe-to-toe with PSG at the Parc des Princes, and a fully-fit squad on a six-game winning streak is everything that Galtier could have been blessed with here. On the other hand, Pochettino has many key absences to work around and may be forced to field an inexperienced name in between the sticks, so we can envisage the defending champions' journey ending here, but Nice may have to do it the hard way from 12 yards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nice
69.11%	18.78%	12.11%

Both teams to score 47.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.86%

44.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.48%

66.52%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35%

11.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.3%

36.7%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.71%

46.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05%

81.94%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 69.1%

Nice 12.11%

Draw 18.78%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nice
2-0 @ 12.46% 1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 4.8% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.42% Total : 69.1%	1-1 @ 8.93% 0-0 @ 5.39% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.78%	0-1 @ 4.15% 1-2 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.11%