Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	Groningen
34.95% ( -0.07)	24.2% ( 0.01)	40.84% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 60.41% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

-0.05)

42.12% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.48% (

-0.05)

64.52% (

0.05)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

-0.06)

23.75% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1% (

-0.09)

57.9% (

0.08)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

0.01)

20.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.58% (

0.01)

53.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 34.95%

Groningen 40.84%

Draw 24.19%

Jong AZ	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.95%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.84%