Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 6, 2023 at 7pm UK

Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
3 - 2
Groningen

Boere (4'), Koscelnik (44'), Kemper (90+6')
Koscelnik (49'), Leemans (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

van Veen (28', 75')
van Veen (28'), Postema (34'), Hove (88'), Pelupessy (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Groningen.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-1 NAC Breda
Monday, October 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 0-3 Den Bosch
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Groningen
34.8% ( -0.2)	25.23% ( -0.08)	39.97% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.09% (

0.35)

46.91% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.84% (

0.32)

69.16% (

-0.32)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.91% (

0.05)

26.09% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.86% (

0.06)

61.14% (

-0.06)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

0.3)

23.28% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

0.43)

57.21% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 34.8%

Groningen 39.97%

Draw 25.22%

NAC Breda	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.8%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.97%