Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37

May 12, 2023 at 7pm UK

NAC Breda
0 - 3
Heracles

Garcia McNulty (17'), Garbett (68'), Velanas (90+3')
Kortsmit (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hansson (56'), Vejinovic (88'), Wehmeyer (90')
Bruns (16')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 0-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, May 7 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Dordrecht 1-3 Heracles
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Heracles
32.6% ( 0.06)	23.78% ( 0.02)	43.62% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 61.21% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.24% (

-0.06)

40.76% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.85% (

-0.06)

63.14% (

0.06)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

24.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.1% (

0.01)

58.9% (

-0.01)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.02% (

-0.06)

18.97% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.49% (

-0.1)

50.51% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 32.6%

Heracles 43.62%

Draw 23.78%

NAC Breda	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.6%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.62%