Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	MVV Maastricht
56.57% ( -0.07)	21.53% ( 0.02)	21.9% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.3% (

-0.05)

38.7% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39% (

-0.06)

61% (

0.06)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43% (

-0.04)

13.57% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.33% (

-0.08)

40.67% (

0.08)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

0.01)

31.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

0.01)

67.4% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 56.57%

MVV Maastricht 21.9%

Draw 21.53%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.57%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.53%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 21.9%