EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Cheltenham

Baldwin (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

May (58'), Vassell (71')

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
26.43%	25.05%	48.52%

Both teams to score 52.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.19%

49.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19%

71.81%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7%

33.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08%

69.92%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44%

20.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92%

53.07%

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 26.43%

Cheltenham Town 48.51%

Draw 25.04%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 7.53% 2-1 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.43%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 4.97% 0-3 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.51%