EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ricoh Arena

Coventry
1 - 4
Bristol City

Allen (62')
Walker (34')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Naismith (12'), Conway (18', 30'), Weimann (90+4')
Vyner (1'), Scott (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Coventry City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

Last Six:

Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Coventry
Sunday, July 31 at 12pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Preston North End	2	0	2
18	Coventry City	1	0	1
19	Rotherham United	1	0	1

Bristol City

Last Six:

Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Sunderland
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Swansea City	2	-3	1
23	Bristol City	2	-2	0
24	Huddersfield Town	2	-2	0

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Bristol City

Playing one less fixture at this stage of the season may prove to be detrimental in terms of match fitness. Nevertheless, that will only mean that Coventry are more likely to field a stronger side, leading us to predict a Sky Blues success by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Bristol City
44.47% ( 1.09)	26.35% ( 0.36)	29.18% ( -1.45)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.57% (

-2.08)

53.43% (

2.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04% (

-1.79)

74.96% (

1.78)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

-0.38)

23.91% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

-0.54)

58.12% (

0.54)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92% (

-2.13)

33.07% (

2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

-2.42)

69.67% (

2.42)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 44.47%

Bristol City 29.18%

Draw 26.35%

Coventry City	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.78) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.47%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.18%