EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 1
Charlton

Wildig (63'), Evans (76'), Palmer-Houlden (80')
Coughlan (28'), Wildig (45+5'), Waite (88'), Charsley (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kanu (42')
Hector (27')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Newport County and Charlton Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Newport
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Charlton Athletic
41.36% ( -0.01)	24.76% ( 0)	33.88% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.13% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

-0)

44.98% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67%

67.33% (

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0)

21.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

-0.01)

54.93% (

0.01)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

0.01)

25.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36% (

0.01)

60.64% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Newport County 41.37%

Charlton Athletic 33.88%

Draw 24.75%

Newport County	Draw	Charlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.37%	1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.88%