EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Spurs

Lodi (50'), Lingard (57')
Lingard (64'), Mangala (68')
Mangala (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bissouma (67'), Kulusevski (87'), Bentancur (88'), Dier (90+4')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Brentford
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur

Both managers will make wholesale changes from their respective Premier League games at the weekend, and it is difficult to predict exactly what will happen in this match, especially as it comes before one more set of Premier League games ahead of the season coming to a halt. Conte will be able to call on the greater quality in reserve, though, and we are therefore backing the visitors to shade this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
26.1% ( 0.01)	23.76% ( -0.05)	50.14% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 56.88% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

0.22)

44.54% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

0.21)

66.91% (

-0.21)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23% (

0.12)

30.77% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.96% (

0.14)

67.03% (

-0.15)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

0.09)

17.84% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41% (

0.16)

48.59% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 26.1%

Tottenham Hotspur 50.14%

Draw 23.76%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.1%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76%	1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.14%