EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
0 - 2
Blackpool

FT(HT: 0-1)

Carey (44'), Kouassi (85')
Tharme (35'), Thompson (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Barrow and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Blackpool

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both sides enjoyed morale-boosting wins at the weekend, and as international call-ups have seen next week's league fixtures postponed, their opening EFL Trophy clash may feature almost first-choice lineups. As a result, a close-fought encounter could be decided by a single goal, with League One Blackpool just having the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 38%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Blackpool
38% ( 0.7)	26.79% ( 0.38)	35.2% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.42% (

-1.62)

53.58% (

1.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.91% (

-1.38)

75.09% (

1.38)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

-0.37)

27.38% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

-0.48)

62.85% (

0.48)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95% (

-1.43)

29.05% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04% (

-1.81)

64.96% (

1.81)

Score Analysis

Barrow 38%

Blackpool 35.2%

Draw 26.79%

Barrow	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 38%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.2%