EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Barrow2 - 0Carlisle
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Barrow and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Carlisle United |
33.32% ( -2.36) | 26.64% ( -0.15) | 40.03% ( 2.51) |
Both teams to score 51.67% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% ( 0.31) | 53.25% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% ( 0.26) | 74.8% ( -0.26) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.92% ( -1.34) | 30.08% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.78% ( -1.64) | 66.21% ( 1.64) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( 1.55) | 26.1% ( -1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% ( 2.03) | 61.16% ( -2.03) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow 33.32%
Carlisle United 40.02%
Draw 26.64%
Barrow | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.32% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.02% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-31 19:40:52
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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