EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 2
Bradford

Pyke (18')
Rodgers (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kelly (16'), Osadebe (48')
Kelly (3'), McDonald (59')
Osadebe (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Grimsby Town and Bradford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bradford City

All competitions

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Bradford City
39.22% ( 0.19)	27.04% ( 0.21)	33.74% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

-0.9)

54.76% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

-0.75)

76.07% (

0.75)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-0.32)

27.25% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-0.42)

62.68% (

0.41)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

-0.71)

30.57% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.2% (

-0.85)

66.79% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 39.21%

Bradford City 33.74%

Draw 27.04%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Bradford City
1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.21%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.74%