Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 2
Sittard

Taylor (8'), Brobbey (88')
Kaplan (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Duarte (49'), Sierhuis (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 5-2 Excelsior
Sunday, March 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ajax 2-2 Fortuna Sittard

Ajax are unbeaten in 10 matches against Fortuna, and even if that is expected to become 11 this weekend, the home side's European exertions and an eye on next week's match at Villa Park could mean the Sittard outfit claim a point in Amsterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
58.46% ( 1.03)	20.89% ( 0.01)	20.65% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 59.97% (

-1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.68% (

-1.51)

37.32% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.47% (

-1.64)

59.54% (

1.65)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.44% (

-0.18)

12.56% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.38% (

-0.38)

38.62% (

0.39)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

-1.8)

31.42% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

-2.14)

67.8% (

2.15)

Score Analysis

Ajax 58.46%

Fortuna Sittard 20.66%

Draw 20.89%

Ajax	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 4% Total : 58.46%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.89%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.66%