Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 14, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
2 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Lammers (4'), Bozdogan (90+3')
van der Maarel (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nauber (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Utrecht
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Almere City
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles

As shown by their respective league standings, Utrecht and Go Ahead Eagles have been closely matched all-season long and this weekend's game could easily swing either way. However, we fancy the hosts to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
62.42% ( 0.08)	19.97% ( 0)	17.61% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 57.58% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.14% (

-0.16)

37.86% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.89% (

-0.17)

60.11% (

0.18)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.37% (

-0.03)

11.63% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.35% (

-0.06)

36.65% (

0.07)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

-0.19)

34.84% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

-0.2)

71.58% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 62.42%

Go Ahead Eagles 17.61%

Draw 19.97%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 62.42%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.97%	1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 17.61%