Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 13, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
6 - 0
Vitesse

de Jong (28', 67'), Tillman (30'), Ramalho (37'), Bakayoko (53'), Lozano (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

de Regt (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Vitesse

Vitesse have been poor at both ends of the pitch all-season long, and it is hard to see them coming away with a positive result here. We fancy the hosts to cruise to a comfortable win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Vitesse
79.22% ( -0.42)	12.71% ( 0.24)	8.06% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.25% (

-0.59)

26.75% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.83% (

-0.76)

47.17% (

0.76)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.71% (

-0.19)

5.29% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.16% (

-0.55)

20.84% (

0.55)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.08% (

-0.06)

41.92% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.63% (

-0.06)

78.37% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 79.22%

Vitesse 8.06%

Draw 12.71%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Vitesse
2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 6% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.37% Total : 79.22%	1-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.71%	1-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 8.06%