Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 6, 2024 at 7pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
0 - 3
Nijmegen

Duijvestijn (23')
Horemans (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chery (60', 64'), Rober (90')
Ross (64'), Sano (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 NEC

Clean sheets have been hard to come by for both teams of late, and we are anticipating an open contest here. That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	NEC
35.42% ( 0.12)	23.52% ( 0.22)	41.06% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 63.03% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26% (

-1.09)

38.74% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

-1.16)

61.04% (

1.16)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

-0.44)

21.95% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.77% (

-0.67)

55.23% (

0.67)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75% (

-0.6)

19.24% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.04% (

-1)

50.96% (

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 35.42%

NEC 41.06%

Draw 23.52%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.42%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 41.06%